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The Red Line

Lamont, His Overpaid Union Allies and Prevailing Wage Laws

Governor Ned Lamont may not make it to the general election in his bid for a third term. His Democrat primary opponent, progressive Josh Elliot, just released a very compelling political advertisement, suggesting an aggressive campaign against Lamont, a self-described “moderate.”

July 10, 2026

Progressives across the nation are having their moment. Democrat socialists like Elliot have upset even liberal Democrat incumbents in multiple recent primaries, most notably in neighboring New York City. Progressives are energized. They will turn out big in the state’s August primary.

The Democrat power structure, aka public sector unions, may be having heartburn after just endorsing Lamont over Elliot at the recent AFLCIO convention. The union bosses may have to call members back from August vacations to rescue Lamont.

An Elliot surge and a manifestly weakened Lamont is a huge opportunity for GOP candidate, Ryan Fazio.

Fazio has been planning to run on the general issue of affordability. He needs a sharper angle.

Actually, there is a potent new affordability issue for Fazio, about which he has already spoken quite eloquently: state employee over-compensation. State workers are the highest paid in the 50 states: the second-highest wages and the best benefits by far.

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The Forgotten Palestinians

Until recently, U.S. policy had been to staunchly defend Israel’s right to exist, while, simultaneously, to advocate for a Palestinian homeland. No longer. The Palestinians have been forgotten.

June 15, 2026

Nevertheless, today, there is a real opportunity to rebalance and create a Palestinian home (not state) in Gaza and the West Bank. That potential already has tangible form.

June 18, 2026

A variation of the two-state solution has already been adopted (but not yet implemented) as the short-term “day-after” solution in Gaza.

In Gaza, international peacekeepers (“the International Stabilization Force,” or ISF) are to disarm Hamas and replace the Israeli Defense Forces. The plan calls for Gazans to accept demilitarization and oversight by an external security force that protects them from Israel and vice versa.

June 21, 2026

Yet, this plan could be jump-started if U.S. troops man the ISF together with troops from a major Arab nation. And, if it can be launched in Gaza, it can be expanded to the West Bank and extended long-term.

A Gaza-only plan is not a solution.

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Trump’s Iran Gamble Meets Political Reality

The outcome in Iran is emerging as a two-staged agreement where, in the second stage, Iran agrees to as-yet undefined limits on its nuclear program over a period of ten to twenty years. President Trump will declare victory, but he will have a hard time explaining how his agreement is much better than former president Obama's 2015 ten-to-fifteen year deal that he criticized and cashiered.

May 25, 2026

Yet, with the destruction of so much of Iran’s weaponry and its military-industrial complex, he has set back Iran’s ability to produce a nuclear weapon for years in a way the Obama did not. And, with a decade of advances in remote surveillance technology, arguably, American ability to detect deal violations will be robust, enabling immediate responses.

Beyond trading removal of the American blockade for Iran’s opening of the Strait of Hormuz in the first stage, we do not know what Iranian demands he will have to meet to reach a deal. No deal is ever one-sided.

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Who’s Making $102,000… Heading to $121,000?

A month ago, U.S. Census released data showing that Connecticut paid its state employees an average of $101,500 in 2025, the second highest wages in the 50 states.

May 13, 2026

The news of wages moving from five figures to six figures, cresting $100,000 for the first time, grabbed widespread attention.

Stunning as the news was, the average is anonymous numbers. Who is making one hundred grand? Who is getting a 60% pay hike? Who is making the second highest wages in the 50 states?

Fortunately, Census provides some broad answers. Census breaks down the headcount and payroll figures for the 50 states into 36 functional categories.

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A Grand Bargain in the Middle East

The likely outcome of the Iran War is a draw at best. Yet, President Trump could achieve much more. In high irony, the conflict has revealed that Iran may not need a nuclear weapon. Closing the Strait of Hormuz has emerged as Iran’s non-nuclear weapon of mass destruction. With some diplomatic pressure and ingenuity, Iran might be induced to swap nuclear for non-nuclear.

May 8, 2026

This swap could serve as the basis for settlement of the entire Mideast conflict.

Trump could induce Iran to give up its entire nuclear program in return for the establishment of a Palestinian homeland (not state) in the West Bank and Gaza overseen by U.S. and Arab armies.

May 19, 2026

He could sweeten the deal with a plan for the U.S. and Iran together to patrol and toll the Strait, an idea that the President recently half-embraced half-seriously. The toll receipts would be devoted to the massive cost of regional reconstruction, for which there is no other apparent source of funding.

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As Expected SEBAC Passed… In Face of GOP Opposition That Was Unexpected By Some

The outcome was never in doubt. Democrats were always going to vote to approve excessive, unfair and unsustainable wage increases for Connecticut state employees, and they did. What the left-leaning media in the state expected to happen, did not. GOP opposition to the raises did not collapse.

May 2, 2026

All but one GOP senator voted against the $2 billion of raises contained in the State Employee Bargaining Agent Coalition (SEBAC) contracts. All but a handful of GOP House members voted “no.”

Wednesday’s proceedings were a text-book illustration of how power corrupts..

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A Palestinian Protectorate Overseen by U.S. and Arab Armies

President Trump does not to have a clear strategy in Iran, despite that the objective is clear, namely, to deny Iran a nuclear bomb. The general approach has been apparent: punish Iran until it capitulates.

April 29, 2026

Except that military punishment has ceased. Now, it is economic warfare. The outcome depends on which side can outlast the other.

What are the president’s strategic options? In common parlance: go long, go home or go big.

We have been going long. The expected outcome has been a long-term agreement somehow limiting Iran’s nuclear program, although the recent suspension of peace negotiations raises doubt about this outcome.

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Average Salary of CT State Employees Tops $100,000

This week was Tax Week. Fittingly, Connecticut taxpayers found out why their taxes are so high and why various new taxes keep popping up (such as public benefits charges on utility bills).

April 17, 200026

Thursday, the U.S. Census released new data showing average Connecticut state employee wages in 2025 were $101,500, the second highest of the 50 states – second only to California.

April 27, 2026

That’s more than 15% higher than the national average of $87,750 for state employees (about 24% higher than the national average excluding California). It takes a lot of tax revenue to pay such high wages.

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Greatly Exaggerated Rumors of GOP Capitulation

There appears to be a misconception among Connecticut Democrats and the media that Republicans have abandoned their call for a state employee wage freeze.

March 31, 2026

Most Senate Republicans did vote last week for a wage increase for the state’s lowest-paid workers in the Service & Maintenance NP-2 union. According to data from the State Comptroller, about 600 of the 3,600 NP-2 workers are custodians who made an average of about $42,000 last fiscal year. That’s only $9,000 above the federal poverty line for a family of four.

There’s a world of difference between voting to raise the pay of state workers who qualify for food stamps and approving a raise for the rest of state workers making an average of $95,000.

April 5, 2026

Governor Lamont has yet to announce actual new contracts for more than three-quarters of the state workforce. He claims to have reached tentative agreements with 10 more unions with a combined 20,000 employees (out of almost 50,000).

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Lamont’s Piecemeal Rollout Strategy for New State Union Contracts

Conventionally, Connecticut governors negotiate omnibus wage contracts for state employees with the State Employee Bargaining Alliance Coalition (SEBAC), an umbrella group comprised of over 30 union bargaining units representing most state employees. Not Ned Lamont, not this year.

March 26, 2026

Most of the state’s nearly 50,000 employees have been working without a wage contract since the last omnibus, so-called SEBAC 2022, expired last June. Until this week, Lamont had struck deals with only the state police (not members of SEBAC) and three small “law and order” SEBAC units, which the General Assembly approved without much notice.

Now, Lamont has submitted a larger contract covering about 4,000 Service and Maintenance employees (bargaining unit “NP-2”) for a vote in the General Assembly this week. Yesterday, the House approved it; today, the Senate votes. That will leave over 40,000 employees still awaiting a new contract.

Why the piecemeal approach?

Likely, because ...

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